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MTCH · Match Group, Inc.

$38.80 latest stored close

Detected setup Trend Only

Watch · Quality 63/100

1 independent risk warning also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

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Switch to Advanced for indicator panels, raw grades, provenance, drawing tools, and full technical tables.

$MTCH

Match Group, Inc.

Match Group, Inc. is a mid-cap Internet Software/Services company in the Technology Services sector with a market cap of $9B.

Buy · 73 Technology Services Internet Software/Services stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 1 Data 1h 0m ago

$38.80 latest close

⚠ Risk Signals

Rising Wedge prior_advance=34.7%, converging=yes, narrowing=28%, touches=upper:3/lower:2, trigger=broke

Bearish structure on the daily chart — a heads-up for anyone holding, not a short signal. Does not affect the bullish setup score.

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Council read · 6 methods

Watch — evidence is building

0 buyable · 5 watch · 1 avoid. Review the observed passes and blockers before reading the chart.

Review six verdicts Inspect chart

Earnings-risk mode

Pre-earnings setup

Tuesday, August 4, 2026 Time not confirmed No sourced report session or clock time

Deterministic evidence

MTCH+2.35%

Broad market · SPY+0.02%

Same completed session window ending 2026-07-27. +2.33 points vs SPY.

CatalystUnavailable Stock reactionPositive Sector reactionUnavailable Opening surgeUnavailable Event riskEarnings-driven

Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

AI interpretation (optional)

Ask a Legend to interpret the evidence only after reviewing the deterministic event timing and relative reaction.

Interpret this evidence AI output is commentary, not scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $38.80 Jul 27 close

52W High $41.03 -5.4%

52W Low $28.81

Wks Since High 1w

Base Depth -10.3%

Base B1

SMA 50 $36.73

SMA 200 $33.64

Avg Vol 3,210,217

RS Rank 40

RS vs High -12.6%

RS Slope +0.4% ▲

Grp Rank #56/64

ADR% 2.9%

ATR(14) $1.18 (3.0%)

Rel Vol (today) 0.62×

Vol Pace N/A

U/D Vol 1.17

A/D Days 16A / 9D

A/D Rating A+

VDU Bars 0/10 d

Power Trend 1d

Earnings 7d

$28.81

$41.03 82%

MTCH Chart

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Setup Quality C 3/7 signals

Score trend

✓ Stage 2 · Advancing ✗ Power Trend 1d ✗ RS New High ✓ Trend 7/8 ✗ No Pattern ✓ Gatekeeper Base #1 (A)

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$MTCH · $38.80 · as of 2026-07-27 · multi-factor read

/ 100

Buy

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend

Weekly ▲ Uptrend

Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$36.73 ↑

100-day$35.07 ↑

200-day$33.64 ↑

Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading55.4 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening

Histogram-0.196

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram expanding.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width56% · 7.8%

Squeeze — volatility compressing

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play. Bands are squeezing — volatility is compressing, often a precursor to a sharp move.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.17 · Neutral

Rel volume0.62×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $38.94swing level

R · $39.78swing level

R · $41.0352-week high

Price · $38.80now

S · $37.56swing level

S · $34.83swing level

S · $34.31swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$38.15

38.2%$36.36

50.0%$34.92

61.8%$33.48

78.6%$31.43

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

The verdict is free. The trade plan is Pro.

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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 39 (laggard)

Want this read in a legend's voice? 💬 Ask a Legend about MTCH

Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →

Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 🟡 5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.

Minervini

Watch

Minervini C

Trend-template read: 7/10 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence

1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $38.80, MA150 $33.92, MA200 $33.64

1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $33.92 vs MA200 $33.64

Failing evidence

1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 39

2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%-18.1% QoQ

7/10 checks

Method → Playbook → Ask →

O'Neil

Avoid

O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence

A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +0.2% | ROE 17.7%

N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high5.4% below high | RS line new high: False

Failing evidence

C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%-18.1% QoQ

L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 39

3/8 checks

Method → Playbook → Ask →

Weinstein

Watch

Weinstein C

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 3 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence

Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)

Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $38.80 vs MA200 $33.64

Failing evidence

Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.62x

Relative strength ≥ 60RS 39

4/7 checks

Method → Playbook → Ask →

Livermore

Watch

Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence

Price$38.80

Distance from 52-week high5.4% below high

Failing evidence

Relative strengthRS 39

Volume vs average0.62x

3/6 checks

Method → Playbook → Ask →

Darvas

Watch

Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence

Price$38.80

Distance from 52-week high5.4% below high

Failing evidence

Relative strengthRS 39

Volume vs average0.62x

3/6 checks

Method → Playbook → Ask →

Wyckoff

Watch

Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence

Price$38.80

Distance from 52-week high5.4% below high

Failing evidence

Relative strengthRS 39

Volume vs average0.62x

3/6 checks

Method → Playbook → Ask →

Breakout Health

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

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RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising

Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +3 A+

Minervini · Grade Card

Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini SEPA criteria · 4/7 met

B 4/7 SEPA

Separate score from the 8-point Trend Template (7/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.

✗ EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ -18%

✗ Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +0%

✓ Gross margin ≥30% 74%

✓ ROE ≥17% 18%

✗ RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 39

✓ Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2

✓ Within 25% of 52W high -5.4%

Method Playbook

📋 Trade it like Wyckoff EXACT LEVELS · PRO

Minervini O'Neil Livermore Weinstein Darvas Wyckoff

Wyckoff B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.

Pivot

Pro level

Published-method rule: Use the Spring/test, Sign of Strength, creek, or Last Point of Support boundary identified by the active structure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.

Entry trigger

Pro level

Published-method rule: Require a completed test or Sign of Strength/Last Point of Support confirmation with improving demand versus supply.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.

Initial stop

Pro level

Published-method rule: Start below the Spring/test low or structural support whose failure would invalidate the accumulation read.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.

Trail

Rule-based

Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive Last Points of Support or meaningful higher lows during markup; never loosen it.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.

Exit / invalidation

Pro level

Published-method rule: Exit on a failed Sign of Strength, support loss, or clear supply-dominant reversal such as an upthrust failure.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.

Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

The published-method workflow is public. Unlock exact pivot, entry, stop, target, and sizing with Pro →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Head & Shoulders bearish forming

75% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~36.61 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~32.19. A push back above 39.01 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 41.03 invalidates it.

Confirms below 36.61

Invalidates at 41.03

Left Shoulder 39.78

Head 41.03

Right Shoulder 39.01

Neckline 36.61

Target 32.19

LS 39.78 / head 41.03 / RS 39.01, neckline ~36.61, vol_fading=no

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis

Trend Only

63.1 score

RS Score 39

Trend 7/8 ✓

Why This Setup? D+W Confluence

Trend Only

Gatekeeper 7/8 | Strong trend (7/8) | Stage 2

The Universal Edge Check

The panel is uneasy

Too many universals unmet — this leans closer to a guess than a trade.

1/7 universals met

In a confirmed uptrend Stage 2 · Trend 7/8
Risk is defined No stop — undefined risk
Asymmetric reward No target set
Not chasing (in range) Pivot distance unknown
Volume confirms 0.6× average — light
Clear of earnings in 7 days — event risk
A relative-strength leader RS 40 — laggard

Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

7/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $38.80 vs SMA150 $33.92 / SMA200 $33.64

SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $33.92 vs SMA200 $33.64

SMA 200 trending up Slope +0.23 over 20 days

SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $36.73

Price above SMA 50 $38.80 vs SMA50 $36.73

30%+ above 52W low +34.7% from $28.81

Within 25% of 52W high -5.4% from $41.03

RS score above 70 RS 39

Fundamentals

52W Range

82%

Mkt Cap SEC

9.1B

EPS QoQ

-18%

Rev YoY

+0%

ROE

18%

Gross Margin

74%

D/E

0.99

EPS TTM

$2.38

P/E TTM

16.3x

Float

233M

Insider

No Buy

Company

Legend AI snapshot

Match Group, Inc.

MTCH · NASDAQ · Technology Services · Internet Software/Services

$38.80latest close $9.1Bmarket cap 40RS rank 63setup score

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars

W. Trend

7/8

W. RS

W. Support

$28.81

W. Resist

$41.03

W. Patterns

Base Breakout

Weekly Structure

Trend Neutral

Tight Weeks 0

Confirmation Neutral

Scan History

20× streak

Jul 28

Trend Only ✓ Gate

Jul 28

Trend Only ✓ Gate

Jul 27

Trend Only ✓ Gate

60 0.0%

Jul 27

Trend Only ✓ Gate

60 0.0%

Jul 24

Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate

55 +2.3%

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