Uptrend Under Pressure 93
Institutional selling is building — 7 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. Severe risk · 93/100 · 7 distribution days (SPY) Sep 11 Full briefing →
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Simple research view

MTCH · Match Group, Inc.

$41.82 +0.94% Sep 10 close
Detected setup Trend Only · Setup Score 79/100

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 79, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

2 independent risk warnings also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

Ask about MTCH

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$MTCH

Match Group, Inc.

Match Group, Inc. is a mid-cap Internet Software/Services company in the Technology Services sector with a market cap of $10B.

Technology Services Internet Software/Services stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 1
$41.82 latest close
Verdict · setup score 79/100 · data Sep 10 close · 1 session old

Stand aside — setup invalidated

Setup score 79, but distribution days reach 5 or more — stand aside until the condition resets.

Earnings

Normal technical setup

No sourced report date Event risk is not modelled for this symbol

Deterministic evidence

MTCH+0.94%
Sector proxy · XLK-1.41%
Broad market · SPY-0.60%
Same completed session window ending 2026-09-10. MTCH was +2.35 points vs XLK. +1.54 points vs SPY.

Session internals Strong momentum

Rule: closed up, at or above the open, in the top third of the day's range. Judged on internals, not on the size of the move.

Vs prior close+0.94% From the open+0.97% Range position77% GapNo gap
QQQ confirmationDiverging (-1.06%) SMH confirmationDiverging (-2.44%)
Short-term conviction -1 points.
  • QQQ, SMH moved against the stock — no index confirmation.
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

Ask a Legend to interpret this evidence → Commentary only — never scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.

Price $41.82 +0.9% Sep 10 close
52W High $43.47 3.8% below high
Wks Since High 1w 0w today
Base Depth 3.0% 7.7% today
RS Rank 54 percentile of scan
SMA 50 $39.43
Avg Vol 3,083,692
Rel Vol (Sep 10) 0.88×
More stats
52W Low $28.81
Tight Wks 0
Base B1
SMA 200 $34.82
RS Line vs High -5.2%
RS Line Slope +15.1% ▲
Group Rank #42/58
ADR% 2.9%
ATR(14) $1.16 (2.8%)
Vol Pace (live) N/A
U/D Vol 2.04
A/D Days 20A / 10D
A/D Rating A+
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 17d
Position in 52-week range 89thpercentile of the 52-week range
$28.81low
$43.47high

MTCH Chart

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$MTCH · $41.82 · as of 2026-09-10 · multi-factor read
93
/ 100
Technicals 93/100
Reference read from price & volume only — the verdict at the top of the page decides the action.

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$39.43 ↑
100-day$37.74 ↑
200-day$34.82 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading58.4 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-0.023

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram contracting.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width66% · 16.5%

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol2.04 · Accumulation
Rel volume0.88×

Accumulation — volume is concentrated on up days; buyers dominate. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $42.49swing level
R · $43.4752-week high
Price · $41.82now
S · $37.56swing level
S · $36.82swing level
S · $36.20swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$40.22
38.2%$38.21
50.0%$36.59
61.8%$34.96
78.6%$32.65

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishVolume accumulation
Want this read in a legend's voice? Ask a Legend about MTCH
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Watch
Minervini C

Trend-template read: 6/10 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $41.82, MA150 $35.63, MA200 $34.82
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $35.63 vs MA200 $34.82
Failing evidence
1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 63
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%From SEPA scan
6/10 checks
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high3.8% below high | RS line new high: False
S: Base tightness (ATR% ≤ 4.5%)ATR% 2.77%
Failing evidence
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 63
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%Data unavailable
2/8 checks
Watch
Weinstein C

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 2 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $41.82 vs MA200 $34.82
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.88x
Weekly price coiling (Stage 2 consolidation)Tightening weekly range confirms base
5/7 checks
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$41.82
Distance from 52-week high3.8% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 63
Volume vs average0.88x
3/6 checks
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$41.82
Distance from 52-week high3.8% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 63
Volume vs average0.88x
3/6 checks
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$41.82
Distance from 52-week high3.8% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 63
Volume vs average0.88x
3/6 checks
Base & Breakout
Breakout follow-through

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
95RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +7 A+
A: 18 D: 11 Net: +765 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini’s published criteria · 2/7 met
C 2/7 criteria
Separate score from the Minervini Trend Template (7/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +0%
Gross margin ≥30%
ROE ≥17%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 63
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high -3.8%

Method Playbook

Trade it like O'Neil EXACT LEVELS · PRO
O'Neil D · Avoid — The deterministic methodology check is Avoid; wait until the blocking criteria are resolved.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the proper base pivot or handle high after CANSLIM leadership and market-direction checks are satisfied.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Require a breakout through the pivot on volume at least 40% above average; the valid buy zone ends 5% above the pivot.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Use the setup's structural stop with a hard 7–8% maximum-loss ceiling from the actual entry.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Protect progress under constructive support such as the 21-day or 10-week line; a stop may ratchet higher but never lower.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit on the hard loss limit, a decisive support break, or a rule-based climax/distribution signal; a normal 20–25% advance is reviewed rather than assumed permanent.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →

Pattern Analysis

79 setup score
RS Score 63
Trend template 7/8
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
Trend Only · schematic

Gatekeeper 7/8 | Strong trend (7/8) | Good RS (63) | Accumulation (2.0× up/dn vol) | Power Trend | Stage 2

The Universal Edge Check · context only

What the setup still has going for it, recorded for later. The verdict above stands — these principles do not overrule it.

1/7 universals met
  • A relative-strength leader — not met RS rank 54 — laggard
  • Risk is defined — not met No stop — undefined risk
  • Asymmetric reward — partly met No target set
  • Clear of earnings — partly met Report date unknown
  • Not chasing (in range) — partly met Pivot distance unknown
  • Volume confirms — partly met 0.9× average — light
  • In a confirmed uptrend — met Stage 2 · Trend template 7/8
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

7/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $41.82 vs SMA150 $35.63 / SMA200 $34.82
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $35.63 vs SMA200 $34.82
SMA 200 trending up Slope +0.84 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $39.43
Price above SMA 50 $41.82 vs SMA50 $39.43
30%+ above 52-week low +45.2% from $28.81
Within 25% of 52-week high -3.8% from $43.47
RS score above 70 RS 63

Fundamentals

52W Range
89%
Mkt Cap SEC
9.6B
Rev YoY
+0%
EPS TTM
$2.38
P/E TTM
17.6x
Float
230M

Company

Company profile
Match Group, Inc.
MTCH · NASDAQ · Technology Services · Internet Software/Services

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
8/8
W. RS
78
W. Support
$29.70
W. Resist
$43.47
W. Patterns
Base Breakout
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Sep 09: 74 (Trend Only)Sep 10: 75 (Trend Only)Sep 10: 76 (Trend Only)Sep 11: 79 (Trend Only)Sep 11: 79 (Trend Only)79
Sep 11
Trend Only ✓ Gate
79
Sep 11
Trend Only ✓ Gate
79
Sep 10
Trend Only ✓ Gate
76 0.0%
Sep 10
Trend Only ✓ Gate
75 0.0%
Sep 09
Trend Only ✓ Gate
74 +0.9%

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