⚠️ Uptrend Under Pressure Severe risk · 99 · Institutional selling is building — 6 distribution days in the last 25 sessions. · 6 distribution days (SPY) Full briefing → Jul 28
Simple research view

MTCH · Match Group, Inc.

$38.80 latest stored close
Detected setup Trend Only

Watch · Quality 63/100

1 independent risk warning also present. Review before relying on the bullish setup.

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Scans / Technology Services / MTCH

$MTCH

Match Group, Inc.

Match Group, Inc. is a mid-cap Internet Software/Services company in the Technology Services sector with a market cap of $9B.

Buy · 73 Technology Services Internet Software/Services stock Stage 2 · Advancing Base 1 Data 1h 0m ago
$38.80 latest close
Council read · 6 methods

Watch — evidence is building

0 buyable · 5 watch · 1 avoid. Review the observed passes and blockers before reading the chart.

Earnings-risk mode

Pre-earnings setup

Tuesday, August 4, 2026 Time not confirmed No sourced report session or clock time

Deterministic evidence

MTCH+2.35%
Broad market · SPY+0.02%
Same completed session window ending 2026-07-27. +2.33 points vs SPY.
CatalystUnavailable Stock reactionPositive Sector reactionUnavailable Opening surgeUnavailable Event riskEarnings-driven
Price bars, sourced event fields, and benchmark math only. This can adjust displayed short-term conviction; it does not change the stored scanner score or readiness.

AI interpretation (optional)

Ask a Legend to interpret the evidence only after reviewing the deterministic event timing and relative reaction.

Interpret this evidence AI output is commentary, not scanner evidence or a sizing recommendation.
Price $38.80 Jul 27 close
52W High $41.03 -5.4%
52W Low $28.81
Wks Since High 1w
Base Depth -10.3%
Base B1
SMA 50 $36.73
SMA 200 $33.64
Avg Vol 3,210,217
RS Rank 40
RS vs High -12.6%
RS Slope +0.4% ▲
Grp Rank #56/64
ADR% 2.9%
ATR(14) $1.18 (3.0%)
Rel Vol (today) 0.62×
Vol Pace N/A
U/D Vol 1.17
A/D Days 16A / 9D
A/D Rating A+
VDU Bars 0/10 d
Power Trend 1d
Earnings 7d
$28.81
$41.03 82%

MTCH Chart

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Setup Quality C 3/7 signals
Jul 24: 55 (Wyckoff SOS)Jul 27: 60 (Trend Only)Jul 27: 60 (Trend Only)Jul 28: 62 (Trend Only)Jul 28: 63 (Trend Only)63 Score trend
✓ Stage 2 · Advancing ✗ Power Trend 1d ✗ RS New High ✓ Trend 7/8 ✗ No Pattern ✓ Gatekeeper Base #1 (A)

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Technical Analysis Report Card

$MTCH · $38.80 · as of 2026-07-27 · multi-factor read
73
/ 100
Buy

Trend · Daily / Weekly / Monthly

Daily ▲ Uptrend
Weekly ▲ Uptrend
Monthly ▲ Uptrend

Moving Averages

50-day$36.73 ↑
100-day$35.07 ↑
200-day$33.64 ↑
Bullish (50 > 200)

RSI (14)

Reading55.4 · Bullish

Bullish momentum — comfortably in buyer territory.

MACD (12/26/9)

StateWeakening
Histogram-0.196

Weakening — MACD slipped below its signal line. Histogram expanding.

Bollinger Bands (20,2)

%B / Width56% · 7.8%
Squeeze — volatility compressing

Mid-band — no directional band edge in play. Bands are squeezing — volatility is compressing, often a precursor to a sharp move.

Volume · Buyer vs Seller

Up/Down vol1.17 · Neutral
Rel volume0.62×

Balanced — up/down volume is roughly even; no clear hand. Recent volume is easing versus its baseline.

Support & Resistance

R · $38.94swing level
R · $39.78swing level
R · $41.0352-week high
Price · $38.80now
S · $37.56swing level
S · $34.83swing level
S · $34.31swing level

Fibonacci · Uptrend swing

23.6%$38.15
38.2%$36.36
50.0%$34.92
61.8%$33.48
78.6%$31.43

Retracement support zones measured from the recent swing low up to the high.

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Daily uptrendWeekly uptrendMonthly uptrendAbove 200-day MA50/200 bullishRS 39 (laggard)
Want this read in a legend's voice? 💬 Ask a Legend about MTCH
Generic technical analysis generated mechanically from price & volume — educational research only, not financial advice or a personalized recommendation. Levels are illustrative; confirm on your own chart. New to these terms? →
Legend Verdicts 6 methodology checks

Who would consider this setup, why it qualifies, and what blocks it — calculated from the same deterministic methodology rules used across Legend AI.

Council consensus: 🟡 5 of 6 legends are Watching — building, not yet a confirmed buy.
Watch
Minervini C

Trend-template read: 7/10 pass; wait for the soft misses to improve.

Passing evidence
1.1 Price > 150-day MA AND 200-day MAPrice $38.80, MA150 $33.92, MA200 $33.64
1.2 150-day MA > 200-day MAMA150 $33.92 vs MA200 $33.64
Failing evidence
1.8 RS rank ≥ 70 (prefer ≥ 85)RS rank 39
2. Quarterly EPS growth ≥ 25%-18.1% QoQ
7/10 checks
Avoid
O'Neil D

CANSLIM read: fails C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%.

Passing evidence
A: Annual earnings & revenue qualityRev +0.2% | ROE 17.7%
N: Near 52-week high or RS line new high5.4% below high | RS line new high: False
Failing evidence
C: Quarterly EPS acceleration ≥ 25%-18.1% QoQ
L: RS rank ≥ 80 (IBD leadership)RS rank 39
3/8 checks
Watch
Weinstein C

Stage-analysis read: Stage 2 is present; 3 supporting checks need improvement.

Passing evidence
Stage 2 (Advancing phase) confirmedStage 2 (Advancing)
Price above 30-week MA (200-day proxy)Price $38.80 vs MA200 $33.64
Failing evidence
Volume expansion above averageVolume ratio 0.62x
Relative strength ≥ 60RS 39
4/7 checks
Watch
Livermore B

Pivotal-point read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$38.80
Distance from 52-week high5.4% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 39
Volume vs average0.62x
3/6 checks
Watch
Darvas B

Box-theory read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$38.80
Distance from 52-week high5.4% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 39
Volume vs average0.62x
3/6 checks
Watch
Wyckoff B

Supply-and-demand read: constructive evidence is present, but relative strength is unresolved.

Passing evidence
Price$38.80
Distance from 52-week high5.4% below high
Failing evidence
Relative strengthRS 39
Volume vs average0.62x
3/6 checks
Breakout Health

No active breakout tracked — Legend AI monitors daily for pivot-point breaks. What's a breakout?

RS Line vs SPY 52-week relative strength · blue = RS line · dashed = MA50 · dot = NH ▲ Rising
98RS Line (52W)
Accumulation / Distribution last 65 sessions · green = acc on high vol · red = dist on high vol Net +3 A+
A: 17 D: 14 Net: +365 sessions
Minervini · Grade Card
Fundamentals & leadership quality — Minervini SEPA criteria · 4/7 met
B 4/7 SEPA
Separate score from the 8-point Trend Template (7/8): the Trend Template grades the price structure, this grades the company & leadership (earnings, sales, margins, RS rank). A stock can ride a clean trend while its fundamentals lag, so the two often differ by design — they are not the same checklist.
EPS acceleration ≥25% QoQ -18%
Revenue growth ≥20% YoY +0%
Gross margin ≥30% 74%
ROE ≥17% 18%
RS rating ≥80 (leadership) 39
Stage 2 uptrend (Weinstein) Stage 2
Within 25% of 52W high -5.4%

Method Playbook

📋 Trade it like Livermore EXACT LEVELS · PRO
Minervini O'Neil Livermore Weinstein Darvas Wyckoff
Livermore B · Watch — The deterministic methodology check is Watch; wait for the failing or incomplete criteria to improve before the trigger can qualify.
Pivot
Pro level
Published-method rule: Treat the resistance break as a pivotal point only while the primary trend and relative strength remain aligned.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Entry trigger
Pro level
Published-method rule: Wait for price and volume to confirm the pivotal-point break; anticipation below the line is not confirmation.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Initial stop
Pro level
Published-method rule: Place the initial stop below the pivotal line or the reaction low that would prove the breakout false.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Trail
Rule-based
Published-method rule: Raise protection beneath successive higher reaction lows as the trend advances; never move a protective line farther away.
Evidence: Planned management rule; no stored stop or broker order is changed automatically.
Exit / invalidation
Pro level
Published-method rule: Exit when price fails the pivotal line, breaks the latest meaningful reaction low, or shows abnormal reversal action.
Evidence: Canonical setup geometry is available with Pro.
Deterministic educational plan, not a recommendation. No order or stop is changed automatically. Method and sources →
The published-method workflow is public. Unlock exact pivot, entry, stop, target, and sizing with Pro →

Forming Patterns (predictive — not confirmed)

Head & Shoulders bearish forming
75% built

Possible head & shoulders top — not confirmed. Watch for a daily close below ~36.61 (neckline) to confirm, with measured-move risk toward ~32.19. A push back above 39.01 weakens the pattern; reclaiming 41.03 invalidates it.

Confirms below 36.61
Invalidates at 41.03
Left Shoulder 39.78
Head 41.03
Right Shoulder 39.01
Neckline 36.61
Target 32.19

LS 39.78 / head 41.03 / RS 39.01, neckline ~36.61, vol_fading=no

Predictive pattern recognition is educational — most forming structures never confirm. Wait for the confirmation level before treating this as a setup.

Pattern Analysis

63.1 score
RS Score 39
Trend 7/8
Why This Setup? D+W Confluence
The Universal Edge Check

The panel is uneasy

Too many universals unmet — this leans closer to a guess than a trade.

1/7 universals met
Why these seven? → The Universal Edge

Minervini Trend Template

7/8

Grades the price structure — moving-average stacking, distance from the 52-week high/low, and relative strength above the ≥70 uptrend bar. This is the technical trend check; the company's fundamentals and ≥80 RS leadership are scored separately in the Grade Card.

Price above SMA 150 & 200 $38.80 vs SMA150 $33.92 / SMA200 $33.64
SMA 150 above SMA 200 SMA150 $33.92 vs SMA200 $33.64
SMA 200 trending up Slope +0.23 over 20 days
SMA 50 above SMA 150 & 200 SMA50 $36.73
Price above SMA 50 $38.80 vs SMA50 $36.73
30%+ above 52W low +34.7% from $28.81
Within 25% of 52W high -5.4% from $41.03
RS score above 70 RS 39

Fundamentals

52W Range
82%
Mkt Cap SEC
9.1B
EPS QoQ
-18%
Rev YoY
+0%
ROE
18%
Gross Margin
74%
D/E
0.99
EPS TTM
$2.38
P/E TTM
16.3x
Float
233M
Insider
No Buy

Company

Legend AI snapshot
Match Group, Inc.
MTCH · NASDAQ · Technology Services · Internet Software/Services
$38.80latest close $9.1Bmarket cap 40RS rank 63setup score

Weekly Context

Multi-timeframe signals from weekly bars
W. Trend
7/8
W. RS
60
W. Support
$28.81
W. Resist
$41.03
W. Patterns
Base Breakout
Weekly Structure

Scan History

20× streak
Jul 24: 55 (Wyckoff SOS)Jul 27: 60 (Trend Only)Jul 27: 60 (Trend Only)Jul 28: 62 (Trend Only)Jul 28: 63 (Trend Only)63
Jul 28
Trend Only ✓ Gate
63
Jul 28
Trend Only ✓ Gate
62
Jul 27
Trend Only ✓ Gate
60 0.0%
Jul 27
Trend Only ✓ Gate
60 0.0%
Jul 24
Wyckoff SOS ✓ Gate
55 +2.3%

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